UNPQ3 2026 PreviewExpected October 21, 2026 · before market open
UNP Q3 2026 Earnings Preview — What to Watch
At the archive date, UNION PACIFIC CORP was expected to release its Q3 2026 10-Q filing on October 21, 2026, before market open. Last quarter: Union Pacific delivered Q2 FY2026 diluted EPS of $3.36 (+6.7% YoY) on revenue of $6.864B (+11.5% YoY), as strong pricing and freight demand offset a higher operating ratio driven by a 60% jump in fuel prices and Norfolk Southern acquisition-related expenses.
Analyst consensus captured from Finnhub and Financial Modeling Prep. This archived preview is no longer updated with later results; see the UNP page for retained reports.
What to Watch in Q3 2026
Drawn from management commentary in the Q2 2026 10-Q:
Freight Revenue Growth Driven by Fuel Surcharges, Volume, and Pricing
Freight revenues increased 12% in Q2 2026 to $6,518M from $5,843M, driven by higher fuel surcharge revenues (up to $1.0B from $569M), 2% carload growth, and core pricing gains, partially offset by unfavorable business mix from higher domestic intermodal (up 19%) which carries lower average revenue per car. Coal carloads declined 17% and international intermodal declined 14%.
Operating Ratio Deteriorated Despite Operating Income Growth
Operating income increased 9% to $2.8B, but the operating ratio of 59.7% deteriorated 0.7 points versus Q2 2025's 59.0%, primarily due to a 60% YoY increase in average locomotive diesel fuel price ($3.86/gallon vs $2.42/gallon) and acquisition-related expenses tied to the pending Norfolk Southern merger.
Pending Norfolk Southern Acquisition Impacting Financing and Expenses
The company paused share repurchases (buybacks fell to just $26M YTD from $2,679M prior year) as part of the pending Norfolk Southern acquisition announced in Q3 2025, and incurred acquisition-related expenses that contributed to higher purchased services and materials costs.